Home ITCAbout ITCCentres of expertiseCenter of Expertise in Big Geodata ScienceEventsGeoAI-based Land Use and Land Cover Segmentation Process to Analyse and Predict Rural Depopulation, Agricultural Land Abandonment, and Deforestation
Kabadayi et al.

GeoAI-based Land Use and Land Cover Segmentation Process to Analyse and Predict Rural Depopulation, Agricultural Land Abandonment, and Deforestation Revisiting historical aerial photographs and satellite imagery in Bulgaria and Turkey (1940-2040)

Rural depopulation, agricultural land abandonment, and deforestation are massive concerns for Europe and elsewhere today and our planet's future. These interlinked phenomena can be analysed using land use and land cover (LULC) maps combined with dynamics of population geography, especially regarding urban sprawl. Modern LULC and spatially disaggregated population datasets go back to the 1980s and 1970s. Although we have earlier population data, these are not geomatched to locations in LULC maps. Earlier LULC maps are either not very reliable (extracted from historical maps) or limited in their geographical coverage (based on selected aerial photos or satellite imagery). These are severe limitations to developing longer and deeper perspectives and understanding the root causes of these detrimental changes in population geography and land use practices in large territories.

GeoAI_LULC_Seg funded by the European Research Council will develop an advanced, modular, and customizable geospatial artificial intelligence-based land use land cover segmentation process to accurately map LULC conditions for around 30,000 km² in a border region between Bulgaria and Turkey, including the cities Edirne, Istanbul, and Plovdiv, from historical aerial photographs and early reconnaissance satellite images (dating back to the 1950s and the 1970s respectively) by pairing them with geotagged historical population census data.

We are currently working on engineering solutions to orthomosaicking early aerial photographs from the 1950s and the latest panchromatic satellite imagery from the 1980s. We use aerial photographs from the General Directorate of Mapping, the Ministry of Defence, the Republic of Turkey and the Military Geographic Service, the Ministry of Defence of the Republic of Bulgaria. The satellite imagery we use is from the most sophisticated and the last film-based photo-reconnaissance satellite program, Hexagon (KH-9), online available at the Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center, the United States.

We aim to segment land use and land cover (LULC) patterns from these historical, high spatial resolution yet single band imagery and create commensurable LULC maps with current satellite-based data such as ESA WorldCover. Furthermore, these early panchromatic imageries can be used as ancillary data for gridded population exercises if successfully segmented.

Speaker
Prof. Dr. Mustafa Erdem Kabadayı

Koç University, Department of Comparative Studies in History and Society

After obtaining his BSc (Middle East Technical University, Ankara) and MSc in Economics (University of Vienna), Kabadayı gained his PhD from the University of Munich in 2008. Until 2015 he has mainly worked on the economic, financial and labor history of the Ottoman Empire. Between 2016 and 2022, he was the principal investigator of UrbanOccupationsOETR, an ERC-StG-funded interdisciplinary research project. Kabadayi has been pursuing his academic career further as an economic historian within the fields of digital and geospatial humanities, focusing on the Ottoman Empire, Bulgaria, Greece, and Turkey.

+90 212 338 3736
 mkabadayi@ku.edu.tr

Presentation