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Modelling flood damage mitigation in Kampala, Uganda

Student:Simbarashe Chereni
Timeline:August 2016 - 31 July 2020

My research aims at simulating flood damage mitigation in selected areas of Kampala city with the view of providing Kampala Capital City Authority and other development actors with a model to forecast the influence of public interventions on flood mitigation behavior in the city. I employ Bayesian modelling to establish decision probabilities from survey data. The probabilities are then used to define transition rules in Agent - based modelling. Although a case study approach is employed, I use Flyvbjerg's, (2006) argumentation to generalize my findings to East Africa.


Kampala - cohabitating with the water

Kampala - raised toilet



Kampala - raised floor

Kampala - sandbags

Meet the team

S. Chereni (Simbarashe)
Graduate Student
prof.dr.ir. M.F.A.M. van Maarseveen (Martin)
Promotor
dr. J. Flacke (Johannes)
Co-promotor
prof.dr. R.V. Sliuzas (Richard)
Co-promotor
Research theme
People, Land and Urban Systems

In PLUS research, people are our focus. Everyone is included, from societal thought-leaders, to government policy makers, to high-level civil society advocates – through to entrepreneurs and citizens, including the disenfranchised. These people are our collaborators, our participants, our beneficiaries, our users. PLUS focuses on understanding the spatial information needs of society and responding to those needs in responsible ways – as tools, as systems, as infrastructure, or as ways of thinking. Our work sits at the nexus of urbanization, land tenure, governance, climate change, and transportation – and the grand challenges of sustainability and social equity in the age of the anthropocene.

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